Policy Article
Who is afraid of AI? Who should be?
Kiel Policy Brief, 198
Authors
Publication Date
JEL Classification
E24
J23
J24
N34
O33
Key Words
Related Topics
Labor Market
Digitalization
- Occupations that are highly cognitive, non-physical, and low in social interaction — typically higher-skill white-collar roles such as data analysts, software developers, and translators — turn out to be highly AI-exposed
- Occupations requiring manual dexterity or intensive interpersonal contact — such as construction labourers or nursing aides — remain among the least exposed to current AI technologies
- Aggregate occupational exposure to AI has risen markedly since 2010, with especially rapid gains in the late 2010s and early 2020s
- Our baseline estimates show no detectable effect of AI exposure on total firm employment, while it is associated with clear skill upgrading
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