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International Trade

Analyses, simulations and commentaries on all issues related to international trade and trade policy. Among other these are the impact of tariffs and trade barriers, the importance of international supply chains, the role of the WTO, or the effects of sanctions.

  • News

    18.06.2026

    chinese dock warehouse worker

    Competing with China: broad tariffs not the best option

  • News

    11.06.2026

    Moscow Kremlin in the summer morning

    Endgame: Russia’s war economy hits its limits

  • News

    09.06.2026

    Flaggen der Europäischen Union und der Ukraine wehen vor dem EU Parlament in Straßburg

    EU–Russia trade could fund Ukraine and increase pressure on the Kremlin

Research and Policy Contributions

The Kiel Institute presents the Kiel Trade Indicator, a novel leading indicator for international trade based on real-time data. It estimates the expected imports and exports for 75 countries, the EU as well as the worldwide trade in goods in total. The calculation is based on movement data from container ships in several hundred ports and sea regions, which an algorithm programmed at the Kiel Institute evaluates using artificial intelligence.

Open Kiel Trade Indicator

Experts

  • Prof. Holger Görg, Ph.D.
    Research Director
  • Dr. Wan-Hsin Liu
    Kiel Institute Researcher
  • Prof. Aoife Hanley, Ph.D.
    Kiel Institute Researcher

Research & Consulting

  • Research Center

    Trade