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Policy Article

The Security Dividend of Climate Policy

Authors

  • Beaufíls
  • T.
  • Jakob
  • M.
  • Kalkuhl
  • M.
  • Richter
  • P.M.
  • Spiro
  • D.
  • Stern
  • L.
  • Wanner
  • J.

Publication Date

JEL Classification

F18 F51 F52 H23 H56

Key Words

EU climate policy

Security dividend

Russia

Ukraine

Defense spending

Geopolitical Externality

Related Topics

Geoeconomics

Climate

War

  • By reducing reliance on fossil fuels, EU climate policy substantially lowers Russia’s financial strength, thereby limiting its military capabilities to sustain its aggression on Ukraine and beyond.
  • We provide estimates for the security dividend of EU climate policy.
  • A one-euro reduction in oil consumption in the EU results in a security dividend of 37 cents (central estimate).
  • Based on the security dividend alone, a significant carbon price (central estimate of 60 euros per ton of CO2) on oil consumption is justified – in addition to its climate, terms-of-trade, and local health benefits.
  • Ambitious EU climate policy that reduces demand for oil and natural gas should be seen as an important pillar of the European security architecture, complementing military spending, diplomatic efforts, and continued support to Ukraine.

Kiel Institute Expert

  • Prof. Dr. Joschka Wanner
    Kiel Institute Researcher

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Subject Dossiers

  • Two women inspect a solar panel

    Climate and Energy

  • View over cargo ship deck with containers

    International Trade

  • People demonstrating against war in the Ukraine

    War against Ukraine

Research Center

  • Trade