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Journal Article

The dynamic impact of FX interventions on financial markets

Authors

  • Menkhoff
  • L.
  • Rieth
  • M.
  • Heidland
  • T.

Publication Date

DOI

10.1162/rest_a_00928

JEL Classification

F31; F33; E58

Key Words

currency

Foreign Exchange

foreign exchange intervention

Interest rates

Stock markets

structural VAR

Related Topics

International Finance

Globalization

European Union & Euro

Economic & Financial Crises

Evidence on the effectiveness of FX interventions is either limited to short horizons or hampered by debatable identification. We address these limitations by identifying a structural vector autoregressive model for the daily frequency with an external instrument. Generally, we find, for freely floating currencies, that FX intervention shocks significantly affect exchange rates and that this impact persists for months. The signaling channel dominates the portfolio channel. Moreover, interest rates tend to fall in response to sales of the domestic currency, whereas stock prices of large (exporting) firms increase after devaluation of the domestic currency.

Kiel Institute Experts

  • Prof. Dr. Tobias Heidland
    Research Director
  • Prof. Dr. Lukas Menkhoff
    Kiel Institute Researcher

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  • International Development