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Journal Article

Who wins and who loses from state subsidies

Authors

  • Du
  • J.
  • Girma
  • S.
  • Görg
  • H.
  • Stepanok
  • I.

Publication Date

DOI

10.1111/caje.12644

JEL Classification

H25 H32 L25

Key Words

China

externalities

firm performance

subsidies

treatment effects

Related Topics

Fiscal Policy & National Budgets

Companies

China

China is perceived to rely on subsidizing firms in targeted industries to improve their performance and stay competitive. We implement an approach that allows for the joint estimation of direct and indirect effects of subsidies on subsidized and non-subsidized firms. We find that firms that receive subsidies experience a boost for productivity. However, our approach highlights the importance of indirect effects, which are generally neglected in the literature. We find that, in general but not always, non-subsidized firms experience reductions in their productivity growth if they operate in a cluster where other firms are subsidized. These negative externalities depend on the share of firms that receive subsidies in the cluster. Aggregating direct and indirect effects into a (weighted) total effect shows that this negative indirect effect tends to dominate. We interpret our results in the light of a simple heterogenous firm model, which highlights that subsidization, in a competitive environment of firms, may potentially harm non-subsidized firms.

Kiel Institute Expert

  • Prof. Holger Görg, Ph.D.
    Research Director

More Publications

Subject Dossiers

  • man on street

    China

  • View over cargo ship deck with containers

    International Trade

Research Center

  • Trade