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Working Paper

South-South refugee movements: Do pull factors play a role?

Authors

  • Lanati
  • M.
  • Thiele
  • R.

Publication Date

Key Words

South-South Refugee Movements

Gravity Model

Pull Factors

Foreign Aid

Related Topics

Migration

Emerging Markets & Developing Countries

Abstract

Studies analysing the pattern of international refugee flows have so far focussed on movements to OECD destinations, even though the vast majority of refugees live in non-OECD countries. Employing a standard gravity model of international migration, we fill this research gap by investigating the impact of destination country characteristics on south-south refugee movements over the period 2004-2019. Our findings suggest that refugees tend to move to safe neighbouring countries but also positively respond to local pull factors such as relatively high per-capita income levels and the availability of education and health services when choosing their country of destination. Donors have the ability to affect the direction of south-south refugee movements by investing in the social infrastructure of potential destination countries.

Kiel Institute Expert

  • Prof. Dr. Rainer Thiele
    Kiel Institute Researcher

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