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Working Paper

Skill-Biased Technological Change and the Business Cycle

Kiel Working Papers, 1775

Authors

  • Balleer
  • A.
  • van Rens
  • T.

Publication Date

JEL Classification

E24 E32 J24 J31

Key Words

business cycle

capital-skill

Complementarity

Long-run Restrictions

skill premium

skill-biased technology

VAR

Over the past two decades, technological progress in the United States has been biased towards skilled labor. What does this imply for business cycles? We construct a quarterly skill premium from the CPS and use it to identify skill-biased technology shocks in a VAR with long-run restrictions. Hours fall in response to skill-biased technology shocks, indicating that at least part of the technology-induced fall in total hours is due to a compositional shift in labor demand. Investment-specific technology shocks reduce the skill premium, indicating that capital and skill are not complementary in aggregate production.

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