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Working Paper

Insurance Demand and Prospect Theory

Authors

  • Schmidt
  • U.

Publication Date

JEL Classification

D14 D81 G21

Key Words

diminishing sensitivity

flood insurance

insurance demand

loss aversion

prospect theory

Empirical evidence has shown that people are unwilling to insure rare losses at subsidized premiums and at the same time take-up insurance for moderate risks at highly loaded premiums. This paper explores whether prospect theory, in particular diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion, can accommodate this evidence. A crucial factor for applying prospect theory to insurance problems is the choice of the reference point. We motivate and explore two possible reference points, state-dependent initial wealth and final wealth after buying full insurance. It turns out that particularly the latter reference point seems to provide a realistic explanation of the empirical evidence.

Kiel Institute Expert

  • Prof. Dr. Dr. Ulrich Schmidt
    Research Director

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Research Center

  • Macroeconomics