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Journal Article

Extreme Weather Events and Economic Activity: The Case of Low Water Levels on the Rhine River

Authors

  • Ademmer
  • M.
  • Jannsen
  • N.
  • Meuchelböck
  • S.

Publication Date

DOI

10.1515/ger-2022-0077

JEL Classification

E32 Q54

Key Words

Climate

Extreme Weather Events

Supply Shocks

Business Cycle Effects

Transportation Disruption

Related Topics

Climate

Business Cycle

Germany

We make use of historical data on water levels on the Rhine river to analyze the impact of weather-related supply shocks on economic activity in Germany. Our analysis shows that low water levels lead to severe disruptions in inland water transportation and cause a significant and economically meaningful decrease of economic activity. In a month with 30 days of low water, industrial production in Germany declines by about 1 percent, ceteris paribus. Our analysis highlights the importance of extreme weather events for business cycle analysis and contributes to gauging the costs of extreme weather events in advanced economies.

Kiel Institute Experts

  • Dr. Nils Jannsen
    Kiel Institute Researcher
  • Dr. Saskia Meuchelböck
    Kiel Institute Fellow

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