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Working Paper

Estimating the effects of the "flight to quality", with an application to German bond yields and interest payments during the Euro crisis

Authors

  • Boeing-Reicher
  • C.
  • Boysen-Hogrefe
  • J.

Publication Date

JEL Classification

C32 C58 G12

Key Words

bond yields

euro crisis

Eurokrise

factor model

Faktormodell

flight to quality

Germany

Recent calculations have suggested that the German federal government has saved roughly EUR 90-100 billion, cumulatively, due to low bond yields since the onset of the Euro crisis. In order to determine the contribution of the “flight to quality” to this sum, we define the flight to quality as a factor which has caused German bond yields and crisis country bond yields to move in opposite directions. Estimates show that only a small share is due to the flight to quality. Comparison with other approaches suggests that our factor approach is a promising way to look at the flight to quality.

Kiel Institute Expert

  • Prof. Dr. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe
    Kiel Institute Researcher

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Research Center

  • Macroeconomics