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Working Paper

Centralized versus Decentralized Inventory Control in Supply Chains and the Bullwhip Effect

KCG Working Paper, No. 6

Authors

  • Qu
  • Z.
  • Raff
  • H.

Publication Date

JEL Classification

L22 L14 M11

Key Words

bullwhip effect

production smoothing

inventory

supply chain

demand uncertainty

stockout avoidance

This paper constructs a model of a supply chain to examine how demand volatility is passed upstream through the chain. In particular, we seek to determine how likely it is that the chain experiences a bullwhip effect, where the variance of the upstream firms’ production exceeds the variance of the upstream firm’s sales. We show that the bullwhip effect is more likely to occur and is greater in size in supply chains in which inventory control is centralized rather than decentralized, that is, exercised by the downstream firm.

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