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Journal Article

Populist Leaders and the Economy

Autoren

  • Funke
  • M.
  • Schularick
  • M.
  • Trebesch
  • C.

Erscheinungsdatum

DOI

10.1257/aer.20202045

JEL Classification

E60 N10 P16

Schlagworte

Populismus

Institutionen

Mehr zum Thema

Internationaler Handel

Wachstum

Globalisierung

Wirtschafts- & Finanzkrisen

Populism at the country level is at an all-time high, with more than 25% of nations currently governed by populists. How do economies perform under populist leaders? We build a new long run cross- country database to study the macroeconomic history of populism. We identify 51 populist presidents and prime ministers from 1900 to 2020 and show that the economic cost of populism is high. After 15 years, GDP per capita is 10% lower compared to a plausible non-populist counterfactual. Economic disintegration, decreasing macroeconomic stability, and the erosion of institutions typically go hand in hand with populist rule.

Kiel Institut Expertinnen und Experten

  • Dr. Manuel Funke
    Kiel Institute Fellow
  • Prof. Dr. Moritz Schularick
    Präsident
  • Prof. Dr. Christoph Trebesch
    Forschungsdirektor

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