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Arbeitspapier

New Evidence, Old Puzzles: Technology Shocks and Labor Market Dynamics

Kieler Arbeitspapiere, 1500

Autoren

  • Balleer
  • A.

Erscheinungsdatum

JEL Classification

E24 E32 O33

Schlagworte

business cycle

Can the standard search-and-matching labor market model replicate the business cycle

fluctuations of the job finding rate and the unemployment rate? In the model, fluctuations are

prominently driven by productivity shocks which are commonly interpreted as technology

shocks. I estimate different types of technology shocks from structural VARs and reassess the

empirical performance of the standard model based on second moments that are conditional

on technology shocks. Most prominently, the model replicates the conditional volatility of job

finding and unemployment, so that the Shimer critique does not apply. Instead the model

lacks non-technological disturbances to replicate the overall sample volatility. In addition,

positive technology shocks lead to a fall in job finding and an increase in unemployment

thereby opposing the dynamics in the standard model similar to the “hours puzzle” in Galí

(1999).

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