Skip to main navigation Skip to main content Skip to page footer

Arbeitspapier

International transmission of financial stress: evidence from a GVAR

Autoren

  • Dovern
  • J.
  • van Roye
  • B.

Erscheinungsdatum

JEL Classification

E32 E52 F36 F37 F41

Schlagworte

Konjunkturzyklen

We analyze the international transmission of financial stress and its effects on economic activity. We construct country specific monthly financial stress indexes (FSI) using dynamic factor models from 1970 until 2012 for 20 countries. We show that there is a strong co-movement of the FSI during financial crises and that the FSI of financially open countries are relatively more correlated to FSI in other countries. Subsequently, we investigate the international transmission of financial stress and its impact on economic activity in a Global VAR (GVAR) model. We show that i) financial stress is quickly transmitted internationally, ii) financial stress has a lagged but persistent negative effect on economic activity, and iii) that economic slowdowns induce only limited financial stress.

Mehr Publikationen

Themendossiers

  • Vollautomatische Autoproduktion mit Roboterarmen

    Konjunktur

  • Europäische Flaggen vor einem EU Gebäude

    Spannungsfeld Europäische Union

  • Innenaufnahme der Kuppel des Reichstags

    Wirtschaftspolitik in Deutschland

Forschungszentren

  • Makroökonomie