Wirtschaftspolitischer Beitrag
Expectations matter: Boosting local economies to cut migration from developing countries
MEDAM Policy Insight, 2021/1
Autoren
Erscheinungsdatum
Schlagworte
Schwellen-& Entwicklungsländer
Afrika
Key messages:
- If people expect their local economy to improve, they are less likely to migrate—even given low-income levels.
- Expectations are more important for the emigration decision than income levels. They also respond better to policy interventions in the short to medium term.
- At the same time, slow-moving factors such as educational advancement, demographic change, and structural economic transformation can still increase migration in the long term.