28 – 29 Apr
2025
109th International Business Cycle Forum
Navigating in a Shifting Global Economy

Michael Stefan/Kiel Institute
The changing global economic landscape challenges policy makers and business leaders alike. Both the less cooperative agenda of the new U.S. administration and the ongoing Chinese approach of massive industrial policy making increase the risk of trade conflicts and economic defragmentation. By the same token, economic linkages among the rest of the world gain attraction with India being a major player in the block-free universe. With the European Commission overhauling its economic policy strategy and a new German government preparing for office, there are manifold pressing issues to be discussed within the KKG community.
Preliminary program
April 28, 2025 (Day 1):
_______ 12:00-13:00 Arrival & lunch _______
13:00 to 13:05 Welcoming Address
Consulate General of India, Hamburg
13:05 to 13:25 Opening Remarks
Stefan Kooths, Director, Business Cycles and Growth, Kiel Institute
13:25 to 13:40 Rising India: Beacon of hope in uncertain times
Soumya Gupta, Consul General of India, Consulate General of India, Hamburg
13:40 to 15:00 Panel debate: Science meets business
Rolf. J. Langhammer (fmr. Vice-President, Kiel Institute), Philipp Murmann (President, UV Nord), Deepak Kapoor (Managing Director, Europe, Gujarat Fluorochemicals), Hemant Sheelvanth (CEO-Bosch Digital Twin Industries), Bhuwan Agarwal (Managing Director -Germany, Tata Consultancy Services); Moderator: Sanchit Gupta, Manager (Risk Advisory), Deloitte
_______ Coffee Break 30 min _______
15:30 to 16:00 Global Economic Outlook
Klaus-Jürgen Gern, Kiel Institute
16:00 to 16:45 USA: Economic Outlook
Adolfo Laurenti, Principal European Economist, VISA, London
16:45 to 17:30 Asia: Economic Outlook
Juuso Kaaresvirta, Senior economist, Bank of Finland
_______ Dinner Buffet _______
April 29, 2025 (Day 2):
09:00 to 09:45 Keynote 1
Julian Hinz, Director, International Trade, Kiel Institute
09:45 to 10:30 Keynote 2
Kamesh Goyal, Chairman, GoDigit Insurance Group
_______ Coffee Break 20 min _______
10:50 to 11:30 UK: Economic Outlook
Stephen Millard, Deputy Director, NIESR, London
11:30 to 12:10 France: Economic Outlook
Charles-Henri Colombier, Director of Macroeconomic Analysis, Rexecode, Paris (tbc)
12:10 to 12:50 Germany: Economic Outlook
Nils Jannsen, Kiel Institute for the World Economy
_______ Lunch Buffet _______